Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Rafael Gonzalez

DET · DSL · P

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 21.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Risk is a meaningful drag on the composite score

PB Rank#6,057
Prospect Score19
Median25
Performance25
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
202537
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 25

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 25
37 27.5 18 2026-06-04 · Median 33 2026-06-05 · Median 31 2026-06-06 · Median 31 2026-06-07 · Median 31 2026-06-08 · Median 31 2026-06-09 · Median 31 2026-06-10 · Median 31 2026-06-11 · Median 23 2026-06-12 · Median 23 2026-06-13 · Median 23 2026-06-14 · Median 23 2026-06-15 · Median 23 2026-06-16 · Median 23 2026-06-17 · Median 23 2026-06-18 · Median 23 2026-06-19 · Median 23 2026-06-20 · Median 23 2026-06-21 · Median 23 2026-06-22 · Median 23 2026-06-23 · Median 23 2026-06-24 · Median 23 2026-06-25 · Median 22.6 2026-06-26 · Median 22.6 2026-06-28 · Median 22.6 2026-06-29 · Median 23 2026-06-30 · Median 23 2026-07-01 · Median 23 2026-07-03 · Median 24 2026-07-05 · Median 26 2026-07-07 · Median 26 2026-07-09 · Median 26 2026-07-11 · Median 26 2026-07-12 · Median 26 2026-07-14 · Median 26 2026-07-16 · Median 26 2026-07-21 · Median 28 2026-07-22 · Median 27 2026-07-23 · Median 27 2026-07-24 · Median 26 2026-07-25 · Median 25 2026-07-26 · Median 25 2026-07-27 · Median 25 2026-07-28 · Median 25 2026-07-29 · Median 27 2026-07-30 · Median 27 2026-07-31 · Median 27 2026-08-01 · Median 27 2026-08-03 · Median 27 2026-08-05 · Median 27 2026-08-07 · Median 27 2026-08-08 · Median 27 2026-08-09 · Median 27 2026-08-10 · Median 27 2026-08-11 · Median 27 2026-08-13 · Median 27 2026-08-14 · Median 27 2026-08-16 · Median 25 2026-08-17 · Median 25 2026-08-18 · Median 25 2026-08-19 · Median 25 2026-08-20 · Median 25 2026-08-22 · Median 25 2026-08-23 · Median 25.3 2026-08-25 · Median 25.3 2026-08-27 · Median 25.3 2026-08-28 · Median 25 2026-09-01 · Median 25 2026-09-02 · Median 25 2026-09-03 · Median 25 2026-09-05 · Median 25 2026-09-06 · Median 25 2026-09-09 · Median 24.9 2026-09-14 · Median 24.9 2026-09-15 · Median 24.9 2026-09-16 · Median 25 2026-09-17 · Median 25 2026-09-18 · Median 25 2026-09-19 · Median 25 2026-09-21 · Median 25 2026-09-22 · Median 25 2026-09-24 · Median 25 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 25

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2425
2026-09-2225
2026-09-2125
2026-09-1925
2026-09-1825
2026-09-1725
2026-09-1625
2026-09-1524.9
2026-09-1424.9
2026-09-0924.9
2026-09-0625
2026-09-0525
2026-09-0325
2026-09-0225
2026-09-0125
2026-08-2825
2026-08-2725.3
2026-08-2525.3
2026-08-2325.3
2026-08-2225
2026-08-2025
2026-08-1925
2026-08-1825
2026-08-1725
2026-08-1625
2026-08-1427
2026-08-1327
2026-08-1127
2026-08-1027
2026-08-0927
2026-08-0827
2026-08-0727
2026-08-0527
2026-08-0327
2026-08-0127
2026-07-3127
2026-07-3027
2026-07-2927
2026-07-2825
2026-07-2725
2026-07-2625
2026-07-2525
2026-07-2426
2026-07-2327
2026-07-2227
2026-07-2128
2026-07-1626
2026-07-1426
2026-07-1226
2026-07-1126
2026-07-0926
2026-07-0726
2026-07-0526
2026-07-0324
2026-07-0123
2026-06-3023
2026-06-2923
2026-06-2822.6
2026-06-2622.6
2026-06-2522.6
2026-06-2423
2026-06-2323
2026-06-2223
2026-06-2123
2026-06-2023
2026-06-1923
2026-06-1823
2026-06-1723
2026-06-1623
2026-06-1523
2026-06-1423
2026-06-1323
2026-06-1223
2026-06-1123
2026-06-1031
2026-06-0931
2026-06-0831
2026-06-0731
2026-06-0631
2026-06-0531
2026-06-0433

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G15
IP27.0
ERA6.33
WHIP1.59
K/910.0
BB/97.0
K-BB%7.2%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
202537
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 25

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 70
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence43
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production40.6
Historical 80% error band16–65
MLB arrival in 3 years1%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026DSL Tigers 1DSL116.55110022.0171716216271.5011.05
2026DSL Tigers 2DSL005.404005.05330532.005.40
20262 teams · TotalAll levels116.33150027.0222019221301.5910.00
2025DSL Astros BlueDSL238.53130119.0172018025132.216.16

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More Detroit Tigers profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.