Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jack Winnay

BOS · AA · 3B

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact results ahead of the tool grade

Current contact and on-base results are outperforming the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#290
Prospect Score67
Median62
Performance60
Trend+2.3%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 50; contact evidence sits near the 74th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 20.1%

What could change the read

  • A 16.7% walk rate provides meaningful approach support
  • A 0.405 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+23.7 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 74
Game Power+17.6 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 68

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 55 Latest recorded 62
66 53 40 2026-06-04 · Median 55 2026-06-05 · Median 55 2026-06-06 · Median 55 2026-06-07 · Median 56 2026-06-08 · Median 56 2026-06-09 · Median 56 2026-06-10 · Median 56 2026-06-11 · Median 56 2026-06-12 · Median 56 2026-06-13 · Median 56 2026-06-14 · Median 56 2026-06-15 · Median 56 2026-06-16 · Median 56 2026-06-17 · Median 57 2026-06-18 · Median 57 2026-06-19 · Median 57 2026-06-20 · Median 56 2026-06-21 · Median 55 2026-06-22 · Median 55 2026-06-23 · Median 55 2026-06-24 · Median 44 2026-06-25 · Median 60 2026-06-26 · Median 60 2026-06-28 · Median 57 2026-06-29 · Median 61 2026-06-30 · Median 61 2026-07-01 · Median 60 2026-07-03 · Median 61 2026-07-05 · Median 60 2026-07-07 · Median 60 2026-07-09 · Median 60 2026-07-11 · Median 58 2026-07-12 · Median 59 2026-07-14 · Median 58 2026-07-16 · Median 58 2026-07-21 · Median 59 2026-07-22 · Median 60 2026-07-23 · Median 58 2026-07-24 · Median 59 2026-07-25 · Median 59 2026-07-26 · Median 58 2026-07-27 · Median 58 2026-07-28 · Median 58 2026-07-29 · Median 59 2026-07-30 · Median 58 2026-07-31 · Median 58 2026-08-01 · Median 61 2026-08-03 · Median 61 2026-08-05 · Median 57 2026-08-07 · Median 56 2026-08-08 · Median 55 2026-08-09 · Median 55 2026-08-10 · Median 54 2026-08-11 · Median 54 2026-08-13 · Median 53 2026-08-14 · Median 53 2026-08-16 · Median 56 2026-08-17 · Median 56 2026-08-18 · Median 57 2026-08-19 · Median 57 2026-08-20 · Median 57 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 55.6 2026-08-25 · Median 55.6 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 57 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 60.5 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2462
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1960
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2026-06-0455

Metrics to follow

K% 20.1%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 16.7%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.405

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G101
PA432
AVG.261
OBP.405
SLG.449
OPS.854
HR17
SB0
BB%16.7%
K%20.1%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range+2.3%
586266
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 60

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch67 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence91
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production50.2
Historical 80% error band33–68
MLB arrival in 3 years50%
Productive MLB role in 3 years10%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed30Developmental
Defense icon
Defense40Developmental
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Portland Sea DogsAA4518115726429061519360.268.365.439.804
2026Greenville DriveHigh-A56251188434850113153510.255.434.457.892
20262 teams · TotalAll levels1014323456990140174672870.261.405.449.854
2025Salem Red SoxSingle-A156153101730111660.321.393.434.827

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Boston Red Sox profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.