Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Riley Quick

MIN · AA · P

Minnesota Twins · Age at assessment: 22.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Pitch quality translating

Current bat-missing results are broadly aligned with the verified pitch-quality expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#377
Prospect Score65
Median61
Performance53
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 60; dominance evidence sits near the 80th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 12.1

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+12.8 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 80
Command-2.0 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 40

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 55 Latest recorded 61
66 55.5 45 2026-06-04 · Median 55 2026-06-05 · Median 55 2026-06-06 · Median 60 2026-06-07 · Median 60 2026-06-08 · Median 60 2026-06-09 · Median 60 2026-06-10 · Median 60 2026-06-11 · Median 60 2026-06-12 · Median 61 2026-06-13 · Median 61 2026-06-14 · Median 61 2026-06-15 · Median 61 2026-06-16 · Median 61 2026-06-17 · Median 62 2026-06-18 · Median 59 2026-06-19 · Median 59 2026-06-20 · Median 59 2026-06-21 · Median 59 2026-06-22 · Median 59 2026-06-23 · Median 59 2026-06-24 · Median 58 2026-06-25 · Median 54 2026-06-26 · Median 54 2026-06-28 · Median 54 2026-06-29 · Median 54 2026-06-30 · Median 54 2026-07-01 · Median 54 2026-07-03 · Median 60 2026-07-05 · Median 60 2026-07-07 · Median 60 2026-07-09 · Median 58 2026-07-11 · Median 58 2026-07-12 · Median 58 2026-07-14 · Median 58 2026-07-16 · Median 58 2026-07-21 · Median 49 2026-07-22 · Median 49 2026-07-23 · Median 59 2026-07-24 · Median 59 2026-07-25 · Median 59 2026-07-26 · Median 59 2026-07-27 · Median 59 2026-07-28 · Median 59 2026-07-29 · Median 59 2026-07-30 · Median 58 2026-07-31 · Median 58 2026-08-01 · Median 56 2026-08-03 · Median 56 2026-08-05 · Median 56 2026-08-07 · Median 56 2026-08-08 · Median 55 2026-08-09 · Median 55 2026-08-10 · Median 55 2026-08-11 · Median 55 2026-08-13 · Median 55 2026-08-14 · Median 56 2026-08-16 · Median 56 2026-08-17 · Median 56 2026-08-18 · Median 56 2026-08-19 · Median 58 2026-08-20 · Median 58 2026-08-22 · Median 58 2026-08-23 · Median 57.8 2026-08-25 · Median 57.8 2026-08-27 · Median 60 2026-08-28 · Median 60 2026-09-01 · Median 59 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 59 2026-09-05 · Median 59 2026-09-06 · Median 59 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 61.1 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2461
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1761
2026-09-1661
2026-09-1561
2026-09-1461.1
2026-09-0962
2026-09-0659
2026-09-0559
2026-09-0359
2026-09-0259
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2026-08-2860
2026-08-2760
2026-08-2557.8
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2026-08-1958
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2026-06-0555
2026-06-0455

Metrics to follow

K/9 12.1

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 17.3%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 5.3

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G23
IP81.2
ERA4.74
WHIP1.40
K/912.1
BB/95.3
K-BB%17.3%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
576166
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 53

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence92
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production47.9
Historical 80% error band25–71
MLB arrival in 3 years37%
Productive MLB role in 3 years6%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Slider icon
Slider60Above Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Slider-Driven

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels019.7533012.017151348102.087.50
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Wichita Wind SurgeAA036.6899032.1343024722361.7310.02
2026Cedar Rapids KernelsHigh-A024.141111041.1312019523611.3113.28
2026Fort Myers Mighty MusselsSingle-A000.003308.010003130.5014.63
20263 teams · TotalAll levels054.742323081.266504312481101.4012.12

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Minnesota Twins profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.