Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Duce Gourson

PIT · AAA · 2B

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 24 · Bats: L · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact tool translating

Current contact results are broadly aligned with the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#354
Prospect Score66
Median60
Performance55
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 50; contact evidence sits near the 53th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 24.8%

What could change the read

  • A 14.8% walk rate provides meaningful approach support
  • A 0.377 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+2.8 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 53
Game Power-0.6 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 41

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 60
69 56.5 44 2026-06-04 · Median 51 2026-06-05 · Median 51 2026-06-06 · Median 51 2026-06-07 · Median 51 2026-06-08 · Median 50 2026-06-09 · Median 50 2026-06-10 · Median 51 2026-06-11 · Median 51 2026-06-12 · Median 50 2026-06-13 · Median 50 2026-06-14 · Median 51 2026-06-15 · Median 52 2026-06-16 · Median 51 2026-06-17 · Median 52 2026-06-18 · Median 52 2026-06-19 · Median 52 2026-06-20 · Median 51 2026-06-21 · Median 51 2026-06-22 · Median 51 2026-06-23 · Median 51 2026-06-24 · Median 51 2026-06-25 · Median 50 2026-06-26 · Median 49 2026-06-28 · Median 48 2026-06-29 · Median 49 2026-06-30 · Median 49 2026-07-01 · Median 50 2026-07-03 · Median 54 2026-07-05 · Median 52 2026-07-07 · Median 52 2026-07-09 · Median 52 2026-07-11 · Median 52 2026-07-12 · Median 52 2026-07-14 · Median 52 2026-07-16 · Median 52 2026-07-21 · Median 59 2026-07-22 · Median 59 2026-07-23 · Median 65 2026-07-24 · Median 62 2026-08-20 · Median 58 2026-08-22 · Median 58 2026-08-23 · Median 58.4 2026-08-25 · Median 58.4 2026-08-27 · Median 59 2026-08-28 · Median 59 2026-09-01 · Median 59 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 59 2026-09-14 · Median 59.1 2026-09-15 · Median 59 2026-09-16 · Median 59 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2560
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1860
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2026-09-1659
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2026-09-1459.1
2026-09-0959
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0258
2026-09-0159
2026-08-2859
2026-08-2759
2026-08-2558.4
2026-08-2358.4
2026-08-2258
2026-08-2058
2026-07-2462
2026-07-2365
2026-07-2259
2026-07-2159
2026-07-1652
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2026-07-1152
2026-07-0952
2026-07-0752
2026-07-0552
2026-07-0354
2026-07-0150
2026-06-3049
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2026-06-2848
2026-06-2649
2026-06-2550
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2026-06-2251
2026-06-2151
2026-06-2051
2026-06-1952
2026-06-1852
2026-06-1752
2026-06-1651
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2026-06-1350
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2026-06-1151
2026-06-1051
2026-06-0950
2026-06-0850
2026-06-0751
2026-06-0651
2026-06-0551
2026-06-0451

Metrics to follow

K% 24.8%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 14.8%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.377

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G127
PA541
AVG.247
OBP.377
SLG.396
OPS.773
HR13
SB38
BB%14.8%
K%24.8%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
566064
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 55

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch66 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence93
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production43.5
Historical 80% error band26–61
MLB arrival in 3 years76%
Productive MLB role in 3 years14%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power45Fringe
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense45Fringe
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels299120012040.222.222.556.778
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels1672621118314117182.290.380.565.945
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Indianapolis IndiansAAA4820417331489262226519.277.379.457.836
2026Altoona CurveAA793372695061140739548329.227.375.357.732
20262 teams · TotalAll levels1275414428110923213618013438.247.377.396.773
2025Altoona CurveAA562261972756121520236110.284.372.431.803
2025Greensboro GrasshoppersHigh-A39166138293691518172821.261.368.449.817
20252 teams · TotalAll levels9539233556922121038408931.275.370.439.809
2024Greensboro GrasshoppersHigh-A1147395710025112.179.319.205.524
2024Bradenton MaraudersSingle-A11483588400610102.229.438.343.780
20242 teams · TotalAll levels2295741315500815214.203.379.270.649

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

More Pittsburgh Pirates profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.