Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 12, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Braylon Payne

MIL · AA · OF

Prospect Baseline Rank #116

Player Assessment

Current model read

The clearest reason to pay attention to Braylon Payne is the separation between what was expected and what he is currently producing. The 63 Performance Grade sits 13 points above the 50 scouting foundation, a large enough gap to change the shape of the evaluation. Run (70) is the clearest carrying tool in the current scouting mix.

Prospect Score & Development

60/100

Developing composite evaluation

Baseline

74/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

94/100

High confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment
63/100

Solid current production

ISO
Power.275 ISOAbove-average game power
K%
Contact29.1% KContact risk
OBP
On-base foundation.358 OBPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale
Overall
50
Hit
45
Power
50
Run
70
Field
55
Arm
50

Grades updated 2026-09-29

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

The projection centers on 74, bounded by a 57 Floor and 77 Ceiling. That broader band is a reminder that the Baseline is strong without being fully settled. The supporting evidence is comparatively mature, so future movement should require a more meaningful change in performance or scouting information.

What to Watch

The development advantage is already being rewarded, so the next question is how well the skills travel upward. At AA, age-to-level context is already helping the projection. Maintaining the same indicators against stronger competition would strengthen the Baseline more than simply repeating the current line in place.

Model factors and risk context
Model Risk Index0
Age to level72
Track record68
Data quality100

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 57Baseline 74Ceiling 77

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 74 on · Current Floor 57, Baseline 74, Ceiling 77

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values
DateBaselineModel version
2026-10-1274pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0974pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0874pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0776pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0576pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0476pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0376pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-3076pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2976pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2576pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2476pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
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2026-09-1875pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1775pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1675pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1575pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1475pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0975pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0671pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-08-2872pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-08-2567pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-08-2367pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-07-1174pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0973pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0773pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0573pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0373pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0175pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-3075pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2975pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2875pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2674pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2574pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2476pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2377pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-06-2177pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-06-1977pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1876pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1773pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1671pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1571pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1471pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1375pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1276pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1176pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1076pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0975pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0875pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
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2026-06-0476pbm_145fdb152195dbe4

Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 77 is 3 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 0/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 94/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.

Verified league roster listing

The player appears in the season-scoped roster snapshot shown below. Prospect Baseline scores remain overall model evaluations.

Arizona Fall League · 2026

Verified roster listing: Scottsdale Scorpions · Snapshot date: 2026-10-09

Prospect Score: 59.8 · Baseline: 74.0

View league model rankings

More Milwaukee Brewers profiles

Projection updated October 12, 2026 · Methodology

Projected Outcome Range Guide

How the Prospect Baseline outcome scale maps to player outcome tiers. The separate scouting bars use the traditional 20–80 scale.

Fringe<40
Developing40–59
Solid60–69
Above average70–79
Impact80–89
Generational90–100

Floor, Baseline, and Ceiling describe the current range of modeled outcomes. They are not guaranteed results or dates.