Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Luke Hill

CLE · AA · 3B · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score72.7#131 Overall
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Performance64Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor64Lower-end outcome
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Ceiling72High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
64Solid current performance
Power.230 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact20.7% KNear expected range
Approach15.6% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit55
Power50
Run45
Field45
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-21

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection53.3
Projected Range36–71
Arrival Probability66%
Productive Role Probability18%
Player Background
OrganizationCleveland Guardians
LevelAA
Position3B
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 59 Latest recorded 67
72 62.5 53 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 59 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 68 2026-09-14 · Median 67.8 2026-09-15 · Median 68 2026-09-16 · Median 68 2026-09-17 · Median 68 2026-09-18 · Median 68 2026-09-19 · Median 68 2026-09-21 · Median 67 2026-09-22 · Median 67 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-09-25 · Median 67 2026-09-29 · Median 67 2026-09-30 · Median 67 2026-10-03 · Median 67 2026-10-04 · Median 67 2026-10-05 · Median 67 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 67

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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2026-09-1467.8
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