Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Reinold Navarro

PIT · High-A · P · Age 20

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score71.5#165 Overall
Baseline69Most likely outcome
Performance64Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor63Lower-end outcome
Baseline69Most likely outcome
Ceiling74High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
64Solid current performance
Miss ability15.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command8.0 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.6 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Fastball65
Slider60
Changeup40
Control35

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh17Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection47.9
Projected Range23–73
Arrival Probability59%
Productive Role Probability13%
Player Background
OrganizationPittsburgh Pirates
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 65 Latest recorded 69
74 66 58 2026-09-02 · Median 65 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 69 2026-09-14 · Median 69.1 2026-09-15 · Median 69 2026-09-16 · Median 69 2026-09-17 · Median 69 2026-09-18 · Median 69 2026-09-19 · Median 69 2026-09-21 · Median 69 2026-09-22 · Median 69 2026-09-24 · Median 69 2026-09-25 · Median 69 2026-09-29 · Median 69 2026-09-30 · Median 69 2026-10-03 · Median 69 2026-10-04 · Median 69 2026-10-05 · Median 69 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 69

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0569
2026-10-0469
2026-10-0369
2026-09-3069
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2026-09-2569
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2026-09-1969
2026-09-1869
2026-09-1769
2026-09-1669
2026-09-1569
2026-09-1469.1
2026-09-0969
2026-09-0662
2026-09-0562
2026-09-0362
2026-09-0265