Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Blake Mitchell

KC · High-A · C

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 22.1 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#412
Prospect Score64
Median64
Performance55
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 55; game-power evidence sits near the 84th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.226

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+20.5 percentile gap
Expected 25 Observed 46
Game Power+25.4 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 84

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 68 Latest recorded 64
77 68 59 2026-06-04 · Median 68 2026-06-05 · Median 68 2026-06-06 · Median 68 2026-06-07 · Median 68 2026-06-08 · Median 68 2026-06-09 · Median 68 2026-06-10 · Median 68 2026-06-11 · Median 68 2026-06-12 · Median 68 2026-06-13 · Median 68 2026-06-14 · Median 68 2026-06-15 · Median 68 2026-06-16 · Median 68 2026-06-17 · Median 68 2026-06-18 · Median 68 2026-06-19 · Median 68 2026-06-20 · Median 68 2026-06-21 · Median 68 2026-06-22 · Median 68 2026-06-23 · Median 68 2026-06-24 · Median 68 2026-06-25 · Median 73 2026-06-26 · Median 73 2026-06-28 · Median 73 2026-06-29 · Median 73 2026-06-30 · Median 73 2026-07-01 · Median 73 2026-07-03 · Median 71 2026-07-05 · Median 71 2026-07-07 · Median 71 2026-07-09 · Median 71 2026-07-11 · Median 71 2026-07-12 · Median 71 2026-07-14 · Median 71 2026-07-16 · Median 71 2026-07-21 · Median 71 2026-07-22 · Median 71 2026-07-23 · Median 71 2026-07-24 · Median 64 2026-07-25 · Median 64 2026-07-26 · Median 64 2026-07-27 · Median 64 2026-07-28 · Median 64 2026-07-29 · Median 64 2026-07-30 · Median 64 2026-07-31 · Median 64 2026-08-01 · Median 64 2026-08-03 · Median 64 2026-08-05 · Median 64 2026-08-07 · Median 65 2026-08-08 · Median 64 2026-08-09 · Median 64 2026-08-10 · Median 64 2026-08-11 · Median 64 2026-08-13 · Median 64 2026-08-14 · Median 64 2026-08-16 · Median 64 2026-08-17 · Median 64 2026-08-18 · Median 64 2026-08-19 · Median 64 2026-08-20 · Median 64 2026-08-22 · Median 64 2026-08-23 · Median 64 2026-08-25 · Median 64 2026-08-27 · Median 64 2026-08-28 · Median 64 2026-09-01 · Median 64 2026-09-02 · Median 64 2026-09-03 · Median 64 2026-09-05 · Median 64 2026-09-06 · Median 64 2026-09-09 · Median 64 2026-09-14 · Median 63.7 2026-09-15 · Median 64 2026-09-16 · Median 64 2026-09-17 · Median 64 2026-09-18 · Median 64 2026-09-19 · Median 64 2026-09-21 · Median 64 2026-09-22 · Median 64 2026-09-24 · Median 64 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 64

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2464
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Metrics to follow

ISO 0.226

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.459

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 34.1%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G115
PA511
AVG.234
OBP.414
SLG.459
OPS.873
HR23
SB27
BB%22.1%
K%34.1%

Quad Cities River Bandits · High-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
596469
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 55

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
MLB / Model Watch65 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence90
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production40.9
Historical 80% error band25–56
MLB arrival in 3 years44%
Productive MLB role in 3 years4%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit35Developmental
Power icon
Power55Avg
Speed icon
Speed30Developmental
Defense icon
Defense55Avg
Arm icon
Arm60Above Avg
Overall icon
Overall50Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels9402858002108122.286.450.500.950
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Quad Cities River BanditsHigh-A1155113819589170237511317427.234.414.459.873
2025Quad Cities River BanditsHigh-A4921616923357121245719.207.372.296.668
2025ACL RoyalsACL1139285820178103.286.487.464.951
20252 teams · TotalAll levels60255197284391319538112.218.390.320.710
2024Quad Cities River BanditsHigh-A52018220001171.111.200.111.311
2024Columbia FirefliesSingle-A106466378649016318507914225.238.376.439.815
20242 teams · TotalAll levels111486396669216318518014926.232.368.424.793
2023ACL RoyalsACL13523485100317141.147.423.176.600

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2023 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

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Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.