Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Max Carlson

BOS · AAA · P · Age 25

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score68.7#236 Overall
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Performance65Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor60Lower-end outcome
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Ceiling73High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
65Solid current performance
Miss ability10.5 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command2.0 BB/9Above-average command
Traffic prevention1.19 WHIPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid62How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection52.2
Projected Range30–75
Arrival Probability53%
Productive Role Probability11%
Player Background
OrganizationBoston Red Sox
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 43 Latest recorded 66
71 55 39 2026-09-02 · Median 43 2026-09-03 · Median 43 2026-09-05 · Median 43 2026-09-06 · Median 43 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 59 2026-09-15 · Median 67 2026-09-16 · Median 67 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 67 2026-09-19 · Median 67 2026-09-21 · Median 67 2026-09-22 · Median 67 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-09-25 · Median 67 2026-09-29 · Median 67 2026-09-30 · Median 67 2026-10-03 · Median 67 2026-10-04 · Median 66 2026-10-05 · Median 66 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 66

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0566
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