Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Slater de Brun

TB · Single-A · OF · Age 19

Bats L · Throws L
PB Rank#237 OverallCurrent model ranking
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Trend0.0Stable
Confidence87Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor59Lower-end outcome
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Ceiling69High-end outcome

Why He Stands Out

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
60Solid current performance
Power.034 ISOLimited current game power
Contact14.9% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.461 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit55
Power45
Run65
Field60
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
Prospect ScoreSolid69Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskHigh8Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection42.4
Projected Range24–61
Arrival Probability8%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationTampa Bay Rays
LevelSingle-A
PositionOF
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 62 Latest recorded 64
68 63 58 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 64 2026-09-14 · Median 63.6 2026-09-15 · Median 64 2026-09-16 · Median 64 2026-09-17 · Median 64 2026-09-18 · Median 64 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 63 2026-09-25 · Median 63 2026-09-29 · Median 63 2026-09-30 · Median 63 2026-10-03 · Median 63 2026-10-04 · Median 64 2026-10-05 · Median 64 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 64

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0564
2026-10-0464
2026-10-0363
2026-09-3063
2026-09-2963
2026-09-2563
2026-09-2463
2026-09-2263
2026-09-2163
2026-09-1963
2026-09-1864
2026-09-1764
2026-09-1664
2026-09-1564
2026-09-1463.6
2026-09-0964
2026-09-0662
2026-09-0562
2026-09-0362
2026-09-0262