Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Gavin Kilen

SF · AA · SS · Age 23

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score68.1#254 Overall
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Performance58Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor58Lower-end outcome
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Ceiling66High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
58Solid current performance
Offensive impact.811 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact14.2% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.348 OBPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall50
Hit60
Power45
Run50
Field50
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection44.6
Projected Range27–62
Arrival Probability60%
Productive Role Probability11%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelAA
PositionSS
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 61 Latest recorded 62
66 61 56 2026-09-02 · Median 61 2026-09-03 · Median 61 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 60.5 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 62 2026-09-19 · Median 62 2026-09-21 · Median 62 2026-09-22 · Median 62 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-09-25 · Median 62 2026-09-29 · Median 62 2026-09-30 · Median 62 2026-10-03 · Median 62 2026-10-04 · Median 62 2026-10-05 · Median 62 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0562
2026-10-0462
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2026-09-1460.5
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