Player Profile
Luke Dotson
ARI · High-A · P · Age 22
Bats L · Throws LProspect Score67.6#268 Overall
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Performance65Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor58Lower-end outcome
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Ceiling73High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.
Performance
Selected evidence65Solid current performance
Miss ability12.8 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance24.5% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
Contact management0.6 HR/9Limits damaging contact
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection56.7
Projected Range32–82
Arrival Probability25%
Productive Role Probability3%
Player Background
OrganizationArizona Diamondbacks
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 52
Latest recorded 65
2026-10-05 · Median 65
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 65 |
| 2026-10-04 | 65 |
| 2026-10-03 | 65 |
| 2026-09-30 | 65 |
| 2026-09-29 | 65 |
| 2026-09-25 | 65 |
| 2026-09-24 | 65 |
| 2026-09-22 | 65 |
| 2026-09-21 | 65 |
| 2026-09-19 | 65 |
| 2026-09-18 | 65 |
| 2026-09-17 | 65 |
| 2026-09-16 | 65 |
| 2026-09-15 | 65 |
| 2026-09-14 | 64.9 |
| 2026-09-09 | 65 |
| 2026-09-06 | 53 |
| 2026-09-05 | 53 |
| 2026-09-03 | 52 |
| 2026-09-02 | 52 |