Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Sam Shaw

TOR · High-A · 2B · Age 22

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score66.8#296 Overall
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Performance66Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor57Lower-end outcome
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Ceiling72High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
66Solid current performance
Power.274 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact23.2% KNear expected range
Approach22.5% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid56How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection44.9
Projected Range27–63
Arrival Probability16%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelHigh-A
Position2B
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 59 Latest recorded 64
68 61.5 55 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 59 2026-09-05 · Median 59 2026-09-06 · Median 59 2026-09-09 · Median 64 2026-09-14 · Median 63.7 2026-09-15 · Median 64 2026-09-16 · Median 64 2026-09-17 · Median 63 2026-09-18 · Median 63 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 64 2026-09-25 · Median 64 2026-09-29 · Median 64 2026-09-30 · Median 64 2026-10-03 · Median 64 2026-10-04 · Median 64 2026-10-05 · Median 64 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 64

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0564
2026-10-0464
2026-10-0364
2026-09-3064
2026-09-2964
2026-09-2564
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2026-09-2263
2026-09-2163
2026-09-1963
2026-09-1863
2026-09-1763
2026-09-1664
2026-09-1564
2026-09-1463.7
2026-09-0964
2026-09-0659
2026-09-0559
2026-09-0359
2026-09-0259