Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jancel Villarroel

SF · AA · C · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score66.5#311 Overall
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Performance52Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor57Lower-end outcome
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Ceiling66High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
52Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.751 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact18.3% KStrong contact signal
Approach6.7% BBNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit50
Power45
Run45
Field40
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh93How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.1
Projected Range21–56
Arrival Probability44%
Productive Role Probability6%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelAA
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 65 Latest recorded 61
69 63 57 2026-09-02 · Median 65 2026-09-03 · Median 65 2026-09-05 · Median 65 2026-09-06 · Median 65 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 61.2 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-09-25 · Median 61 2026-09-29 · Median 61 2026-09-30 · Median 61 2026-10-03 · Median 61 2026-10-04 · Median 61 2026-10-05 · Median 61 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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