Player profile
Aaron Watson
Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 19.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R
Results Ahead of Tools
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:
Dominance ahead of the tool grades
Current strikeout and K-BB results are outperforming the verified pitch-quality expectation
High Confidence · 91%PB Rank#435
Prospect Score64
Median61
Performance53
Trend0.0%
Why the player is here
- Best pitch grade 55; dominance evidence sits near the 79th percentile for comparable pitchers
- K/9 is 11.4
Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.
Tool vs observed results
Percentile scaleStuff+20.3 percentile gap
Command-1.1 percentile gap
Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 48
Latest recorded 61
2026-09-24 · Median 61
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | 61 |
| 2026-09-22 | 61 |
| 2026-09-21 | 61 |
| 2026-09-19 | 61 |
| 2026-09-18 | 61 |
| 2026-09-17 | 61 |
| 2026-09-16 | 61 |
| 2026-09-15 | 61 |
| 2026-09-14 | 60.8 |
| 2026-09-09 | 61 |
| 2026-09-06 | 67 |
| 2026-09-05 | 67 |
| 2026-09-03 | 67 |
| 2026-09-02 | 67 |
| 2026-09-01 | 67 |
| 2026-08-28 | 67 |
| 2026-08-27 | 67 |
| 2026-08-25 | 66.9 |
| 2026-08-23 | 66.9 |
| 2026-08-22 | 67 |
| 2026-08-20 | 67 |
| 2026-08-19 | 54 |
| 2026-08-18 | 54 |
| 2026-08-17 | 54 |
| 2026-08-16 | 54 |
| 2026-08-14 | 54 |
| 2026-08-13 | 54 |
| 2026-08-11 | 54 |
| 2026-08-10 | 54 |
| 2026-08-09 | 54 |
| 2026-08-08 | 54 |
| 2026-08-07 | 54 |
| 2026-08-05 | 54 |
| 2026-08-03 | 54 |
| 2026-08-01 | 54 |
| 2026-07-31 | 54 |
| 2026-07-30 | 54 |
| 2026-07-29 | 54 |
| 2026-07-28 | 54 |
| 2026-07-27 | 54 |
| 2026-07-26 | 54 |
| 2026-07-25 | 54 |
| 2026-07-24 | 54 |
| 2026-07-23 | 54 |
| 2026-07-22 | 54 |
| 2026-07-21 | 54 |
| 2026-07-16 | 53 |
| 2026-07-14 | 53 |
| 2026-07-12 | 53 |
| 2026-07-11 | 53 |
| 2026-07-09 | 53 |
| 2026-07-07 | 53 |
| 2026-07-05 | 50 |
| 2026-07-03 | 50 |
| 2026-07-01 | 48 |
| 2026-06-30 | 48 |
| 2026-06-29 | 48 |
| 2026-06-28 | 48 |
| 2026-06-26 | 48 |
| 2026-06-25 | 48 |
| 2026-06-24 | 48 |
| 2026-06-23 | 48 |
| 2026-06-22 | 48 |
| 2026-06-21 | 48 |
| 2026-06-20 | 48 |
| 2026-06-19 | 48 |
| 2026-06-18 | 48 |
| 2026-06-17 | 48 |
| 2026-06-16 | 48 |
| 2026-06-15 | 48 |
| 2026-06-14 | 48 |
| 2026-06-13 | 48 |
| 2026-06-12 | 48 |
| 2026-06-11 | 48 |
| 2026-06-10 | 48 |
| 2026-06-09 | 48 |
| 2026-06-08 | 48 |
| 2026-06-07 | 48 |
| 2026-06-06 | 48 |
| 2026-06-05 | 48 |
| 2026-06-04 | 48 |
Metrics to follow
K/9
11.4
Primary bat-missing indicator
Definition
Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched
K-BB%
18.4%
Separates dominance from walk cost
Definition
Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control
BB/9
3.3
Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal
Definition
Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better
Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings
