Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Dakota Jordan

SF · AA · OF · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score65.0#390 Overall
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Performance51Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor56Lower-end outcome
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Ceiling65High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
51Developing performance profile
Power.218 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact28.0% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.343 OBPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall50
Hit45
Power60
Run70
Field55
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection37.4
Projected Range20–55
Arrival Probability53%
Productive Role Probability7%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelAA
PositionOF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 59 Latest recorded 61
65 59.5 54 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 59 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 60.7 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-09-25 · Median 61 2026-09-29 · Median 61 2026-09-30 · Median 61 2026-10-03 · Median 61 2026-10-04 · Median 61 2026-10-05 · Median 61 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0561
2026-10-0461
2026-10-0361
2026-09-3061
2026-09-2961
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2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1761
2026-09-1661
2026-09-1561
2026-09-1460.7
2026-09-0961
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0359
2026-09-0259