Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Mason Marriott

ARI · AA · P · Age 24

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score64.4#410 Overall
Baseline59Most likely outcome
Performance57Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor53Lower-end outcome
Baseline59Most likely outcome
Ceiling68High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
57Solid current performance
Miss ability11.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance24.2% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
Contact management1.9 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball50
Slider50
Curveball60
Changeup45
Control50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-14

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh79How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh4Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection51.9
Projected Range27–77
Arrival Probability4%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationArizona Diamondbacks
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 59
64 55 46 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 59 2026-09-14 · Median 59.5 2026-09-15 · Median 59 2026-09-16 · Median 59 2026-09-17 · Median 59 2026-09-18 · Median 59 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 59 2026-09-22 · Median 59 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-09-25 · Median 59 2026-09-29 · Median 59 2026-09-30 · Median 59 2026-10-03 · Median 59 2026-10-04 · Median 59 2026-10-05 · Median 59 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 59

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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2026-09-1459.5
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