Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jay Harry

TOR · AAA · 2B

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 24.2 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#431
Prospect Score64.0
Median58
Performance Signal+18.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
555863
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +18.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 67 Latest recorded 58
71 62.5 54 2026-07-16 · Median 67 2026-07-21 · Median 65 2026-07-22 · Median 65 2026-07-23 · Median 65 2026-07-24 · Median 63 2026-08-20 · Median 65 2026-08-22 · Median 64 2026-08-23 · Median 64.5 2026-08-25 · Median 64.5 2026-08-27 · Median 63 2026-08-28 · Median 62 2026-09-01 · Median 62 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 59.5 2026-09-15 · Median 59 2026-09-16 · Median 59 2026-09-17 · Median 59 2026-09-18 · Median 59 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-07-16 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1959
2026-09-1859
2026-09-1759
2026-09-1659
2026-09-1559
2026-09-1459.5
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0661
2026-09-0561
2026-09-0362
2026-09-0262
2026-09-0162
2026-08-2862
2026-08-2763
2026-08-2564.5
2026-08-2364.5
2026-08-2264
2026-08-2065
2026-07-2463
2026-07-2365
2026-07-2265
2026-07-2165
2026-07-1667

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 93
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
555863
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +18.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence93
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection35.3
Projected range18–53
Arrival probability64%
Productive role probability9%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.