Player profile
Aaron Watson
Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 19.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.
PB Rank#428
Prospect Score64.0
Median61
Performance Signal+2.9
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
556166
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +2.9
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 54
Latest recorded 61
2026-10-04 · Median 61
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 61 |
| 2026-10-03 | 61 |
| 2026-09-30 | 61 |
| 2026-09-29 | 61 |
| 2026-09-25 | 61 |
| 2026-09-24 | 61 |
| 2026-09-22 | 61 |
| 2026-09-21 | 61 |
| 2026-09-19 | 61 |
| 2026-09-18 | 61 |
| 2026-09-17 | 61 |
| 2026-09-16 | 61 |
| 2026-09-15 | 61 |
| 2026-09-14 | 60.8 |
| 2026-09-09 | 61 |
| 2026-09-06 | 67 |
| 2026-09-05 | 67 |
| 2026-09-03 | 67 |
| 2026-09-02 | 67 |
| 2026-09-01 | 67 |
| 2026-08-28 | 67 |
| 2026-08-27 | 67 |
| 2026-08-25 | 66.9 |
| 2026-08-23 | 66.9 |
| 2026-08-22 | 67 |
| 2026-08-20 | 67 |
| 2026-08-19 | 54 |
| 2026-08-18 | 54 |
| 2026-08-17 | 54 |
| 2026-08-16 | 54 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
84
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
13
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.