Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Adam Serwinowski

LAD · AA · P

Bats L · Throws L
PB Rank#448Overall ranking
Baseline58Developmental outcome
Trend-18.4Falling
Confidence93Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor50Lower-end outcome
Baseline58Most likely outcome
Ceiling63High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Fastball60
Slider60
Control45

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-10-05

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is cooling.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 58, between a 50 Floor and 63 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.

What to Watch

Track whether the recent projection decline stabilizes.

Performance

Selected evidence
51Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.6 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.9 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.3 HR/9Near expected range
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreDeveloping52Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationLos Angeles Dodgers
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 58 Latest recorded 58 Change 0.0
62 58 54 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-10-04 · Median 58 2026-10-05 · Median 58 2026-10-07 · Median 58 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0758
2026-10-0558
2026-10-0458
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558