Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Javier Perez

HOU · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#458
Score63.5
Baseline61
Signal+20.6
Trend0.0
Floor54
Baseline61
Ceiling70
Confidence59 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Javier Perez

HOU · High-A · P

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 22.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#458
Prospect Score63.5
Median61
Performance Signal+20.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
546170
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +20.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 61
66 53 40 2026-08-16 · Median 44 2026-08-17 · Median 44 2026-08-18 · Median 44 2026-08-19 · Median 44 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 51 2026-08-23 · Median 50.9 2026-08-25 · Median 50.9 2026-08-27 · Median 53 2026-08-28 · Median 53 2026-09-01 · Median 53 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 61.8 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 62 2026-09-19 · Median 62 2026-09-21 · Median 62 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-09-25 · Median 61 2026-09-29 · Median 61 2026-09-30 · Median 61 2026-10-03 · Median 61 2026-10-04 · Median 61 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0461
2026-10-0361
2026-09-3061
2026-09-2961
2026-09-2561
2026-09-2461
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2162
2026-09-1962
2026-09-1862
2026-09-1762
2026-09-1662
2026-09-1562
2026-09-1461.8
2026-09-0962
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0253
2026-09-0153
2026-08-2853
2026-08-2753
2026-08-2550.9
2026-08-2350.9
2026-08-2251
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1944
2026-08-1844
2026-08-1744
2026-08-1644

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
546170
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +20.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection56.3
Projected range35–77
Arrival probability40%
Productive role probability6%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.