Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Kyle Carr

NYY · AAA · P

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 24.4 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#477
Prospect Score63.0
Median57
Performance Signal+9.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
535761
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 57
63 53 43 2026-07-07 · Median 50 2026-07-09 · Median 50 2026-07-11 · Median 50 2026-07-12 · Median 49 2026-07-14 · Median 49 2026-07-16 · Median 49 2026-07-21 · Median 47 2026-07-22 · Median 47 2026-07-23 · Median 47 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 59 2026-09-14 · Median 58.2 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-07-07 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1458.2
2026-09-0959
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2856
2026-08-2756
2026-07-2347
2026-07-2247
2026-07-2147
2026-07-1649
2026-07-1449
2026-07-1249
2026-07-1150
2026-07-0950
2026-07-0750

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 93
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
535761
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence93
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.2
Projected range21–66
Arrival probability38%
Productive role probability6%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.