Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

J.D. Thompson

MIL · AA · P

Milwaukee Brewers · Age at assessment: 23 · Bats: R · Throws: L

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Dominance ahead of the tool grades

Current strikeout and K-BB results are outperforming the verified pitch-quality expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#449
Prospect Score64
Median58
Performance55
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 55; dominance evidence sits near the 76th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 11.8

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+17.5 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 76
Command-12.5 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 38

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 58
67 54 41 2026-06-04 · Median 50 2026-06-05 · Median 50 2026-06-06 · Median 45 2026-06-07 · Median 45 2026-06-08 · Median 45 2026-06-09 · Median 45 2026-06-10 · Median 45 2026-06-11 · Median 45.1 2026-07-23 · Median 53 2026-07-24 · Median 53 2026-07-25 · Median 53 2026-07-26 · Median 53 2026-07-27 · Median 53 2026-07-28 · Median 53 2026-07-29 · Median 53 2026-07-30 · Median 53 2026-07-31 · Median 53 2026-08-01 · Median 53 2026-08-03 · Median 53 2026-08-05 · Median 53 2026-08-07 · Median 53 2026-08-08 · Median 53 2026-08-09 · Median 53 2026-08-10 · Median 53 2026-08-11 · Median 53 2026-08-13 · Median 53 2026-08-14 · Median 53 2026-08-16 · Median 53 2026-08-17 · Median 53 2026-08-18 · Median 53 2026-08-19 · Median 53 2026-08-20 · Median 63 2026-08-22 · Median 63 2026-08-23 · Median 62.7 2026-08-25 · Median 62.7 2026-08-27 · Median 62 2026-08-28 · Median 62 2026-09-01 · Median 62 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 59 2026-09-14 · Median 58 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1458
2026-09-0959
2026-09-0662
2026-09-0562
2026-09-0362
2026-09-0262
2026-09-0162
2026-08-2862
2026-08-2762
2026-08-2562.7
2026-08-2362.7
2026-08-2263
2026-08-2063
2026-08-1953
2026-08-1853
2026-08-1753
2026-08-1653
2026-08-1453
2026-08-1353
2026-08-1153
2026-08-1053
2026-08-0953
2026-08-0853
2026-08-0753
2026-08-0553
2026-08-0353
2026-08-0153
2026-07-3153
2026-07-3053
2026-07-2953
2026-07-2853
2026-07-2753
2026-07-2653
2026-07-2553
2026-07-2453
2026-07-2353
2026-06-1145.1
2026-06-1045
2026-06-0945
2026-06-0845
2026-06-0745
2026-06-0645
2026-06-0550
2026-06-0450

Metrics to follow

K/9 11.8

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 16.5%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 5.5

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G17
IP61.0
ERA3.98
WHIP1.36
K/911.8
BB/95.5
K-BB%16.5%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
545863
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 55

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production48.4
Historical 80% error band24–73
MLB arrival in 3 years30%
Productive MLB role in 3 years4%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball55Avg
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball50Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control50Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels003.6033015.01176210191.4011.40
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Biloxi ShuckersAA034.3366027.0241413419381.5912.67
2026Wisconsin Timber RattlersHigh-A113.9099030.0181513117371.1711.10
2026ACL BrewersACL012.252204.04110151.2511.25
20263 teams · TotalAll levels153.981717061.0463027537801.3611.80

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Milwaukee Brewers profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.