Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Derek Diamond

PIT · AAA · P

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 25.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#480
Prospect Score63.0
Median61
Performance Signal+26.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
556168
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +26.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 61
65 53 41 2026-07-16 · Median 50 2026-07-21 · Median 51 2026-07-22 · Median 51 2026-07-23 · Median 51 2026-07-24 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 47 2026-08-22 · Median 47 2026-08-23 · Median 47.5 2026-08-25 · Median 47.5 2026-08-27 · Median 47 2026-08-28 · Median 47 2026-09-01 · Median 45 2026-09-02 · Median 45 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 60.7 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-09-25 · Median 61 2026-09-29 · Median 61 2026-09-30 · Median 61 2026-10-03 · Median 61 2026-07-16 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0361
2026-09-3061
2026-09-2961
2026-09-2561
2026-09-2461
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1761
2026-09-1661
2026-09-1561
2026-09-1460.7
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0245
2026-09-0145
2026-08-2847
2026-08-2747
2026-08-2547.5
2026-08-2347.5
2026-08-2247
2026-08-2047
2026-07-2449
2026-07-2351
2026-07-2251
2026-07-2151
2026-07-1650

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 11
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
556168
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +26.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 11
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.9
Projected range21–71
Arrival probability32%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.