Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Axiel Plaz

PIT · High-A · C · Age 21

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score67.2#288 Overall
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Performance60Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor57Lower-end outcome
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Ceiling66High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
60Solid current performance
Offensive impact.902 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
Contact17.2% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.389 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit40
Power55
Run30
Field45
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection40.1
Projected Range25–56
Arrival Probability51%
Productive Role Probability8%
Player Background
OrganizationPittsburgh Pirates
LevelHigh-A
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 61 Latest recorded 62
66 61.5 57 2026-09-02 · Median 61 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 61.7 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 62 2026-09-19 · Median 62 2026-09-21 · Median 62 2026-09-22 · Median 62 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-09-25 · Median 62 2026-09-29 · Median 62 2026-09-30 · Median 62 2026-10-03 · Median 62 2026-10-04 · Median 62 2026-10-05 · Median 62 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0562
2026-10-0462
2026-10-0362
2026-09-3062
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2026-09-1461.7
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2026-09-0662
2026-09-0562
2026-09-0362
2026-09-0261