Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jonathan Hogart

PHI · AAA · RF

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 24.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#487
Prospect Score62.9
Median59
Performance Signal+7.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
535966
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 42 Latest recorded 59
64 50.5 37 2026-08-14 · Median 42 2026-08-16 · Median 42 2026-08-17 · Median 42 2026-08-18 · Median 42 2026-08-19 · Median 42 2026-08-20 · Median 41 2026-08-22 · Median 41 2026-08-23 · Median 41.1 2026-08-25 · Median 41.1 2026-08-27 · Median 41 2026-08-28 · Median 41 2026-09-01 · Median 41 2026-09-02 · Median 41 2026-09-03 · Median 42 2026-09-05 · Median 42 2026-09-06 · Median 41 2026-09-09 · Median 41 2026-09-14 · Median 41 2026-09-15 · Median 41 2026-09-16 · Median 41 2026-09-17 · Median 41 2026-09-18 · Median 41 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 59 2026-09-22 · Median 59 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-09-25 · Median 59 2026-09-29 · Median 59 2026-09-30 · Median 59 2026-10-03 · Median 59 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 59

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0359
2026-09-3059
2026-09-2959
2026-09-2559
2026-09-2459
2026-09-2259
2026-09-2159
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1841
2026-09-1741
2026-09-1641
2026-09-1541
2026-09-1441
2026-09-0941
2026-09-0641
2026-09-0542
2026-09-0342
2026-09-0241
2026-09-0141
2026-08-2841
2026-08-2741
2026-08-2541.1
2026-08-2341.1
2026-08-2241
2026-08-2041
2026-08-1942
2026-08-1842
2026-08-1742
2026-08-1642
2026-08-1442

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
535966
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection46.5
Projected range29–64
Arrival probability61%
Productive role probability13%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.