Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jack Gurevitch

STL · AA · 1B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#472
Score63.1
Baseline59
Signal+21.4
Trend+0.3
Floor55
Baseline59
Ceiling64
Confidence91 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jack Gurevitch

STL · AA · 1B

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 22.6 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#472
Prospect Score63.1
Median59
Performance Signal+21.4
Trend+0.3

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.3
555964
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +21.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 59
64 52.5 41 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 52 2026-08-22 · Median 52 2026-08-23 · Median 50.3 2026-08-25 · Median 50.3 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 54 2026-09-06 · Median 54 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 59.5 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 59 2026-09-18 · Median 59 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 59 2026-09-29 · Median 59 2026-09-30 · Median 59 2026-10-03 · Median 59 2026-10-04 · Median 59 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 59

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0459
2026-10-0359
2026-09-3059
2026-09-2959
2026-09-2559
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1959
2026-09-1859
2026-09-1759
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1459.5
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0654
2026-09-0554
2026-09-0354
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2550.3
2026-08-2350.3
2026-08-2252
2026-08-2052
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 91
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.3
555964
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +21.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence91
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection34.9
Projected range18–52
Arrival probability58%
Productive role probability10%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.