Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Luis Cova

MIA · Single-A · OF

Miami Marlins · Age at assessment: 19.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#499
Prospect Score62.7
Median56
Performance Signal+4.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
525661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 62 Latest recorded 56
66 59 52 2026-08-14 · Median 62 2026-08-16 · Median 62 2026-08-17 · Median 62 2026-08-18 · Median 62 2026-08-19 · Median 62 2026-08-20 · Median 62 2026-08-22 · Median 61 2026-08-23 · Median 61.3 2026-08-25 · Median 61.3 2026-08-27 · Median 61 2026-08-28 · Median 61 2026-09-01 · Median 61 2026-09-02 · Median 61 2026-09-03 · Median 61 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 56.4 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1456.4
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0661
2026-09-0561
2026-09-0361
2026-09-0261
2026-09-0161
2026-08-2861
2026-08-2761
2026-08-2561.3
2026-08-2361.3
2026-08-2261
2026-08-2062
2026-08-1962
2026-08-1862
2026-08-1762
2026-08-1662
2026-08-1462

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 89
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 3
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
525661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 3
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence89
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.2
Projected range30–61
Arrival probability28%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.