Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jagger Haynes

SD · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#491
Score62.7
Baseline57
Signal+10.1
Trend+0.2
Floor53
Baseline57
Ceiling61
Confidence93 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jagger Haynes

SD · AAA · P

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 24.0 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#491
Prospect Score62.7
Median57
Performance Signal+10.1
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
535761
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 57
64 56.5 49 2026-07-21 · Median 53 2026-07-22 · Median 53 2026-07-23 · Median 60 2026-07-24 · Median 60 2026-08-20 · Median 54 2026-08-22 · Median 54 2026-08-23 · Median 54 2026-08-25 · Median 54 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 56.5 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-10-04 · Median 57 2026-07-21 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0457
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1757
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1456.5
2026-09-0957
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2754
2026-08-2554
2026-08-2354
2026-08-2254
2026-08-2054
2026-07-2460
2026-07-2360
2026-07-2253
2026-07-2153

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 93
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
535761
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence93
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection35.9
Projected range13–59
Arrival probability39%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.