Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Nick Potter

HOU · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#533
Score62.1
Baseline57
Signal+23.7
Trend0.0
Floor52
Baseline57
Ceiling62
Confidence85 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Nick Potter

HOU · High-A · P

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 22.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#533
Prospect Score62.1
Median57
Performance Signal+23.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
525762
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +23.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 57
61 51 41 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 56 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 56.3 2026-08-25 · Median 56.3 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 56.9 2026-09-15 · Median 57 2026-09-16 · Median 57 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-10-04 · Median 57 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0457
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1757
2026-09-1657
2026-09-1557
2026-09-1456.9
2026-09-0957
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2556.3
2026-08-2356.3
2026-08-2256
2026-08-2056
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 85
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
525762
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +23.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence85
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection51.1
Projected range26–76
Arrival probability20%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.