Player Profile
Ethan Petry
WSH · AA · OF · Age 22
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score62.2#525 Overall
Baseline58Most likely outcome
Performance51Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor53Lower-end outcome
Baseline58Most likely outcome
Ceiling62High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.
Performance
Selected evidence51Developing performance profile
Power.229 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact30.6% KContact risk
Approach8.7% BBNear expected range
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleSource: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01
Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh12Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection37.3
Projected Range20–55
Arrival Probability51%
Productive Role Probability9%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelAA
PositionOF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 56
Latest recorded 58
2026-10-05 · Median 58
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 58 |
| 2026-10-04 | 58 |
| 2026-10-03 | 58 |
| 2026-09-30 | 58 |
| 2026-09-29 | 58 |
| 2026-09-25 | 58 |
| 2026-09-24 | 58 |
| 2026-09-22 | 58 |
| 2026-09-21 | 58 |
| 2026-09-19 | 57 |
| 2026-09-18 | 58 |
| 2026-09-17 | 58 |
| 2026-09-16 | 58 |
| 2026-09-15 | 58 |
| 2026-09-14 | 58.2 |
| 2026-09-09 | 60 |
| 2026-09-06 | 56 |
| 2026-09-05 | 56 |
| 2026-09-03 | 56 |
| 2026-09-02 | 56 |