Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Bryan Balzer

SD · High-A · P

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 21.9 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#545
Prospect Score62.0
Median60
Performance Signal-0.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
556065
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 60
64 55 46 2026-08-14 · Median 51 2026-08-16 · Median 54 2026-08-17 · Median 54 2026-08-18 · Median 54 2026-08-19 · Median 54 2026-08-20 · Median 54 2026-08-22 · Median 54 2026-08-23 · Median 50.9 2026-08-25 · Median 50.9 2026-08-27 · Median 59 2026-08-28 · Median 59 2026-09-01 · Median 59 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 59 2026-09-05 · Median 59 2026-09-06 · Median 59 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 59.8 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 60 2026-09-30 · Median 60 2026-10-03 · Median 60 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0360
2026-09-3060
2026-09-2960
2026-09-2560
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1860
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1459.8
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0659
2026-09-0559
2026-09-0359
2026-09-0259
2026-09-0159
2026-08-2859
2026-08-2759
2026-08-2550.9
2026-08-2350.9
2026-08-2254
2026-08-2054
2026-08-1954
2026-08-1854
2026-08-1754
2026-08-1654
2026-08-1451

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 89
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
556065
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence89
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection40.0
Projected range19–61
Arrival probability16%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.