Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Nick Becker

SEA · Single-A · SS

Seattle Mariners · Age at assessment: 19.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#551
Prospect Score62.0
Median60
Performance Signal+0.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
556066
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +0.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 60
66 56 46 2026-08-14 · Median 50 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 50 2026-08-20 · Median 62 2026-08-22 · Median 62 2026-08-23 · Median 61.6 2026-08-25 · Median 61.6 2026-08-27 · Median 62 2026-08-28 · Median 62 2026-09-01 · Median 62 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 60.1 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 60 2026-09-30 · Median 60 2026-10-03 · Median 60 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0360
2026-09-3060
2026-09-2960
2026-09-2560
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1860
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1460.1
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0661
2026-09-0561
2026-09-0362
2026-09-0262
2026-09-0162
2026-08-2862
2026-08-2762
2026-08-2561.6
2026-08-2361.6
2026-08-2262
2026-08-2062
2026-08-1950
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650
2026-08-1450

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 88
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 19
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
556066
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +0.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 19
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence88
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection35.2
Projected range20–51
Arrival probability17%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.