Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Cayden Wallace

WSH · AAA · 3B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#586
Score61.5
Baseline58
Signal+10.4
Trend-0.5
Floor53
Baseline58
Ceiling65
Confidence63 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Cayden Wallace

WSH · AAA · 3B

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 25.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#586
Prospect Score61.5
Median58
Performance Signal+10.4
Trend-0.5

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.5
535865
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 58
64 54.5 45 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 50 2026-08-20 · Median 50 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 52 2026-08-25 · Median 52 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 58 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 59.3 2026-09-15 · Median 59 2026-09-16 · Median 59 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 59 2026-09-22 · Median 59 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-09-25 · Median 59 2026-09-29 · Median 59 2026-09-30 · Median 59 2026-10-03 · Median 59 2026-10-04 · Median 58 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0458
2026-10-0359
2026-09-3059
2026-09-2959
2026-09-2559
2026-09-2459
2026-09-2259
2026-09-2159
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1860
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1659
2026-09-1559
2026-09-1459.3
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0657
2026-09-0557
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0258
2026-09-0158
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2552
2026-08-2352
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2050
2026-08-1950
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 63
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.5
535865
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence63
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection42.4
Projected range25–60
Arrival probability87%
Productive role probability19%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.