Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Tyson Moran

KC · Single-A · 3B

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 20.7 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#577
Prospect Score61.7
Median58
Performance Signal+20.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
515865
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +20.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 58
66 56.5 47 2026-08-14 · Median 51 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 62 2026-08-22 · Median 62 2026-08-23 · Median 62 2026-08-25 · Median 62 2026-08-27 · Median 62 2026-08-28 · Median 62 2026-09-01 · Median 62 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 57.9 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1457.9
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0662
2026-09-0562
2026-09-0362
2026-09-0262
2026-09-0162
2026-08-2862
2026-08-2762
2026-08-2562
2026-08-2362
2026-08-2262
2026-08-2062
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1751
2026-08-1651
2026-08-1451

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 57
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
515865
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +20.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence57
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection49.1
Projected range31–67
Arrival probability23%
Productive role probability6%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.