Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Brayan Vergara

LAA · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#583
Score61.5
Baseline58
Signal+14.3
Trend0.0
Floor51
Baseline58
Ceiling66
Confidence60 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Brayan Vergara

LAA · Single-A · P

Los Angeles Angels · Age at assessment: 20.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#583
Prospect Score61.5
Median58
Performance Signal+14.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
515866
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +14.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 59 Latest recorded 58
63 58.5 54 2026-08-16 · Median 59 2026-08-17 · Median 59 2026-08-18 · Median 59 2026-08-19 · Median 59 2026-08-20 · Median 59 2026-08-22 · Median 59 2026-08-23 · Median 58.6 2026-08-25 · Median 58.6 2026-08-27 · Median 58 2026-08-28 · Median 58 2026-09-01 · Median 58 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 58.2 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-10-04 · Median 58 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0458
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1458.2
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0258
2026-09-0158
2026-08-2858
2026-08-2758
2026-08-2558.6
2026-08-2358.6
2026-08-2259
2026-08-2059
2026-08-1959
2026-08-1859
2026-08-1759
2026-08-1659

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
515866
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +14.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection53.3
Projected range32–74
Arrival probability14%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.