Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Cole Mathis

NYM · High-A · 3B

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 23.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#636
Prospect Score60.6
Median57
Performance Signal+22.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
525762
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +22.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 57
61 41.5 22 2026-08-14 · Median 26 2026-08-16 · Median 26 2026-08-17 · Median 26 2026-08-18 · Median 26 2026-08-19 · Median 26 2026-08-20 · Median 26 2026-08-22 · Median 26 2026-08-23 · Median 26.4 2026-08-25 · Median 26.4 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 56.8 2026-09-15 · Median 57 2026-09-16 · Median 57 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1757
2026-09-1657
2026-09-1557
2026-09-1456.8
2026-09-0957
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2526.4
2026-08-2326.4
2026-08-2226
2026-08-2026
2026-08-1926
2026-08-1826
2026-08-1726
2026-08-1626
2026-08-1426

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 89
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
525762
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +22.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence89
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.3
Projected range27–64
Arrival probability20%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.