Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Luke Gabrysh

NYM · AA · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score60.4#655 Overall
Baseline56Most likely outcome
Performance54Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor50Lower-end outcome
Baseline56Most likely outcome
Ceiling63High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
54Developing performance profile
Miss ability11.7 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.0 BB/9Near expected range
Contact management1.4 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid63How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection48.5
Projected Range26–71
Arrival Probability39%
Productive Role Probability6%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Mets
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 56
61 54 47 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 56.2 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 56 2026-10-05 · Median 56 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0556
2026-10-0456
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1456.2
2026-09-0957
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251