Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Khal Stephen

CLE · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#654
Score60.4
Baseline55
Signal-2.5
Trend0.0
Floor50
Baseline55
Ceiling59
Confidence92 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Khal Stephen

CLE · AA · P

Cleveland Guardians · Age at assessment: 23.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#654
Prospect Score60.4
Median55
Performance Signal-2.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
505559
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 64 Latest recorded 55
68 59 50 2026-06-18 · Median 64 2026-06-19 · Median 64 2026-06-20 · Median 64 2026-06-21 · Median 64 2026-06-22 · Median 64 2026-06-23 · Median 64 2026-06-24 · Median 64 2026-06-25 · Median 64 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 54 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 54 2026-09-06 · Median 54 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.6 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-10-04 · Median 55 2026-06-18 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0455
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1454.6
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0654
2026-09-0554
2026-09-0354
2026-09-0254
2026-09-0154
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2754
2026-06-2564
2026-06-2464
2026-06-2364
2026-06-2264
2026-06-2164
2026-06-2064
2026-06-1964
2026-06-1864

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 92
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
505559
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence92
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.6
Projected range23–72
Arrival probability11%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.