Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Angel Bastardo

BOS · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#674
Score60.2
Baseline57
Signal+2.1
Trend0.0
Floor51
Baseline57
Ceiling64
Confidence64 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Angel Bastardo

BOS · AAA · P

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 24.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#674
Prospect Score60.2
Median57
Performance Signal+2.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
515764
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +2.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 65 Latest recorded 57
69 61 53 2026-08-16 · Median 65 2026-08-17 · Median 65 2026-08-18 · Median 65 2026-08-19 · Median 63 2026-08-20 · Median 63 2026-08-22 · Median 63 2026-08-23 · Median 62.7 2026-08-25 · Median 62.7 2026-08-27 · Median 62 2026-08-28 · Median 62 2026-09-01 · Median 62 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 58.2 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-10-04 · Median 57 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0457
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1458.2
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0663
2026-09-0563
2026-09-0363
2026-09-0262
2026-09-0162
2026-08-2862
2026-08-2762
2026-08-2562.7
2026-08-2362.7
2026-08-2263
2026-08-2063
2026-08-1963
2026-08-1865
2026-08-1765
2026-08-1665

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 64
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
515764
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +2.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence64
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.4
Projected range20–69
Arrival probability32%
Productive role probability5%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.