Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Asbel Gonzalez

KC · High-A · CF · Age 21

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score59.9#692 Overall
Baseline56Most likely outcome
Performance44Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor50Lower-end outcome
Baseline56Most likely outcome
Ceiling61High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
44Developing performance profile
Power.052 ISOLimited current game power
Contact25.5% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.358 OBPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit45
Power40
Run60
Field65
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh5Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection29.7
Projected Range14–45
Arrival Probability36%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationKansas City Royals
LevelHigh-A
PositionCF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 56
60 55.5 51 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.8 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 56 2026-10-05 · Median 56 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0556
2026-10-0456
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1455.8
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256