Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Christian Cerda

ARI · AAA · C · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score59.8#696 Overall
Baseline56Most likely outcome
Performance49Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor49Lower-end outcome
Baseline56Most likely outcome
Ceiling62High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
49Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.692 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact21.9% KNear expected range
Approach11.6% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid65How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection40.3
Projected Range23–57
Arrival Probability27%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationArizona Diamondbacks
LevelAAA
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 57 Latest recorded 56
61 56.5 52 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 56.2 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 56 2026-10-05 · Median 56 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0556
2026-10-0456
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1456.2
2026-09-0957
2026-09-0657
2026-09-0557
2026-09-0357
2026-09-0257