Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Randy Guzman

NYM · High-A · 1B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#659
Score60.4
Baseline55
Signal+23.1
Trend+1.2
Floor51
Baseline55
Ceiling60
Confidence89 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Randy Guzman

NYM · High-A · 1B

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 21.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#659
Prospect Score60.4
Median55
Performance Signal+23.1
Trend+1.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+1.2
515560
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +23.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 39 Latest recorded 55
60 47.5 35 2026-08-11 · Median 39 2026-08-13 · Median 39 2026-08-14 · Median 39 2026-08-16 · Median 39 2026-08-17 · Median 39 2026-08-18 · Median 39 2026-08-19 · Median 39 2026-08-20 · Median 39.3 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.7 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-10-04 · Median 55 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0455
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1455.7
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2850
2026-08-2750
2026-08-2039.3
2026-08-1939
2026-08-1839
2026-08-1739
2026-08-1639
2026-08-1439
2026-08-1339
2026-08-1139

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Improving
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 89
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+1.2
515560
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +23.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence89
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection35.1
Projected range17–53
Arrival probability24%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.