Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Ben Hess

NYY · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#715
Score59.7
Baseline58
Signal-5.4
Trend0.0
Floor53
Baseline58
Ceiling63
Confidence91 Risk22 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Ben Hess

NYY · AA · P

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 24.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#715
Prospect Score59.7
Median58
Performance Signal-5.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
535863
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 63 Latest recorded 58
68 61 54 2026-08-11 · Median 63 2026-08-13 · Median 63 2026-08-14 · Median 63 2026-08-16 · Median 63 2026-08-17 · Median 63 2026-08-18 · Median 63 2026-08-19 · Median 63 2026-08-20 · Median 63.1 2026-08-27 · Median 58 2026-08-28 · Median 58 2026-09-01 · Median 58 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 58.2 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-10-04 · Median 58 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0458
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1458.2
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0258
2026-09-0158
2026-08-2858
2026-08-2758
2026-08-2063.1
2026-08-1963
2026-08-1863
2026-08-1763
2026-08-1663
2026-08-1463
2026-08-1363
2026-08-1163

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 91
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 22
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
535863
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 22
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.8
Projected range23–73
Arrival probability17%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.