Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Matt Jachec

CLE · AA · P

Cleveland Guardians · Age at assessment: 25.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#723
Prospect Score59.6
Median58
Performance Signal+18.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
515868
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +18.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 58
63 53.5 44 2026-08-10 · Median 50 2026-08-11 · Median 50 2026-08-13 · Median 50 2026-08-14 · Median 50 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 50 2026-08-20 · Median 49.8 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 59 2026-09-14 · Median 58.5 2026-09-15 · Median 59 2026-09-16 · Median 59 2026-09-17 · Median 59 2026-09-18 · Median 59 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-08-10 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1859
2026-09-1759
2026-09-1659
2026-09-1559
2026-09-1458.5
2026-09-0959
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2049.8
2026-08-1950
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650
2026-08-1450
2026-08-1350
2026-08-1150
2026-08-1050

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 54
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 22
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
515868
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +18.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 22
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence54
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.9
Projected range24–74
Arrival probability25%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.