Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Claudio Estelie

PIT · AA · P · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score59.3#752 Overall
Baseline57Most likely outcome
Performance53Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor50Lower-end outcome
Baseline57Most likely outcome
Ceiling64High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
53Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.1 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.8 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.40 WHIPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid55How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.2
Projected Range21–70
Arrival Probability12%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationPittsburgh Pirates
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 40 Latest recorded 57
61 48.5 36 2026-09-02 · Median 40 2026-09-03 · Median 40 2026-09-05 · Median 40 2026-09-06 · Median 40 2026-09-09 · Median 44 2026-09-14 · Median 43.3 2026-09-15 · Median 57 2026-09-16 · Median 57 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-10-04 · Median 57 2026-10-05 · Median 57 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0557
2026-10-0457
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1757
2026-09-1657
2026-09-1557
2026-09-1443.3
2026-09-0944
2026-09-0640
2026-09-0540
2026-09-0340
2026-09-0240