Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Callan Moss

PIT · AA · 1B · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score59.3#753 Overall
Baseline53Most likely outcome
Performance47Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor49Lower-end outcome
Baseline53Most likely outcome
Ceiling57High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
47Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit50
Power40
Run40
Field45
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection37.8
Projected Range21–55
Arrival Probability48%
Productive Role Probability7%
Player Background
OrganizationPittsburgh Pirates
LevelAA
Position1B
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 53
57 52 47 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 53 2026-09-14 · Median 52.9 2026-09-15 · Median 53 2026-09-16 · Median 53 2026-09-17 · Median 53 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-10-04 · Median 53 2026-10-05 · Median 53 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0553
2026-10-0453
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1853
2026-09-1753
2026-09-1653
2026-09-1553
2026-09-1452.9
2026-09-0953
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251