Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jaxon Wiggins

CHC · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#761
Score59.2
Baseline59
Signal-20.9
Trend0.0
Floor54
Baseline59
Ceiling64
Confidence91 Risk20 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jaxon Wiggins

CHC · AAA · P

Chicago Cubs · Age at assessment: 25.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#761
Prospect Score59.2
Median59
Performance Signal-20.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
545964
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -20.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 59 Latest recorded 59
68 61 54 2026-07-21 · Median 59 2026-07-22 · Median 59 2026-07-23 · Median 64 2026-07-24 · Median 61 2026-08-20 · Median 61 2026-08-22 · Median 61 2026-08-23 · Median 60.7 2026-08-25 · Median 60.7 2026-08-27 · Median 58 2026-08-28 · Median 58 2026-09-01 · Median 58 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 59.5 2026-09-15 · Median 59 2026-09-16 · Median 59 2026-09-17 · Median 59 2026-09-18 · Median 59 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 59 2026-09-22 · Median 59 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-09-25 · Median 59 2026-09-29 · Median 59 2026-09-30 · Median 59 2026-10-03 · Median 59 2026-10-04 · Median 59 2026-07-21 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 59

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0459
2026-10-0359
2026-09-3059
2026-09-2959
2026-09-2559
2026-09-2459
2026-09-2259
2026-09-2159
2026-09-1959
2026-09-1859
2026-09-1759
2026-09-1659
2026-09-1559
2026-09-1459.5
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0258
2026-09-0158
2026-08-2858
2026-08-2758
2026-08-2560.7
2026-08-2360.7
2026-08-2261
2026-08-2061
2026-07-2461
2026-07-2364
2026-07-2259
2026-07-2159

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 91
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 20
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
545964
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -20.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 20
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection41.1
Projected range16–66
Arrival probability11%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.