Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jesus Castillo

PIT · AAA · 3B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#813
Score58.3
Baseline56
Signal-12.6
Trend0.0
Floor49
Baseline56
Ceiling62
Confidence64 Risk1 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jesus Castillo

PIT · AAA · 3B

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 23.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#813
Prospect Score58.3
Median56
Performance Signal-12.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
495662
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -12.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 56
61 52.5 44 2026-08-16 · Median 56 2026-08-17 · Median 56 2026-08-18 · Median 56 2026-08-19 · Median 56 2026-08-20 · Median 56 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 56.1 2026-08-25 · Median 56.1 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 48.4 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 56 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0456
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1448.4
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2856
2026-08-2756
2026-08-2556.1
2026-08-2356.1
2026-08-2256
2026-08-2056
2026-08-1956
2026-08-1856
2026-08-1756
2026-08-1656

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 64
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 1
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
495662
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -12.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 1
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence64
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection32.9
Projected range16–50
Arrival probability40%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.