Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jhonan Coba

DET · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#838
Score58.1
Baseline56
Signal+1.2
Trend0.0
Floor50
Baseline56
Ceiling61
Confidence85 Risk14 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jhonan Coba

DET · Single-A · P

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 20.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#838
Prospect Score58.1
Median56
Performance Signal+1.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
505661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 56
60 48.5 37 2026-08-16 · Median 41 2026-08-17 · Median 41 2026-08-18 · Median 41 2026-08-19 · Median 41 2026-08-20 · Median 41 2026-08-22 · Median 41 2026-08-23 · Median 41.5 2026-08-25 · Median 41.5 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 54 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 54 2026-09-06 · Median 54 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.7 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 56 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0456
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1455.7
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0654
2026-09-0554
2026-09-0354
2026-09-0254
2026-09-0154
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2754
2026-08-2541.5
2026-08-2341.5
2026-08-2241
2026-08-2041
2026-08-1941
2026-08-1841
2026-08-1741
2026-08-1641

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 85
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 14
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
505661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 14
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence85
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.1
Projected range20–70
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.